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AI's ceiling was never going to be chips. It's electricity.

AI's ceiling was never going to be chips. It's electricity.
Opinion — the views expressed are the author's own.

Everyone watches GPUs. The real bottleneck is quieter and harder to fix. It's power. On June 18, U.S. regulators ordered all six regional grid operators to either justify their rules or change them, because AI data centers can't connect to the grid fast enough.

Meanwhile the capital is already moving to where the power is. SoftBank just committed up to €75 billion to build five gigawatts of AI data center capacity in France. Not chips. Megawatts.

This rewrites who wins. For a decade, compute was the scarce resource. Now compute is waiting on the wall socket. Whoever controls cheap, fast, abundant power controls the next phase of AI, and that is a contest of energy policy and grid engineering, not model architecture.

The race everyone is watching is for the smartest model. The race that actually decides it is for the next gigawatt.